6.12 - Factors Affecting Famine Severity
The definition and nature of famine
Famine is a prolonged period of severe food shortage in a specific region, leading to widespread hunger and malnutrition. It is a complex issue influenced by multiple interconnected factors, often resulting in significant human suffering and loss of life if not addressed promptly.
Characteristics of famine
- Long-term food scarcity - A sustained reduction in food availability over an extended period, distinguishing famine from short-term hunger crises.
- Widespread impact - Affects large populations, often across entire regions or countries, leading to increased mortality rates.
- Multi-causal nature - Rarely caused by a single factor; instead, it results from a combination of environmental, social, and political issues.
Key factors influencing the severity of famine
The intensity and impact of a famine are determined by various elements that interact to either worsen or alleviate the crisis.
Factors contributing to famine severity
- Duration and intensity of drought - Prolonged dry spells and severe water shortages can devastate crop production, as rainfall is critical for agriculture in many regions.
- Population growth - Rapid increases in population can strain food resources, making it harder to meet demand during shortages.
- Unemployment and food entitlement - High unemployment rates limit individuals’ ability to purchase food, while lack of entitlement or access to resources exacerbates hunger.
- Civil unrest and conflict - Wars and internal strife disrupt food production, distribution, and access, often displacing populations and worsening scarcity.
- Access to land and food production - Limited availability of arable land or restrictions on farming can hinder local food supply, especially when land is used for non-food purposes.
The role of governance and international aid in famine response
Effective governance and timely international support play pivotal roles in determining how a famine unfolds and how quickly affected populations can recover. Both short-term relief and strategic planning are essential components of famine management.
Governance and policy impact
- Quality of governance - Poor governance can increase the risk of food scarcity by failing to implement effective agricultural policies or emergency responses.
- Early warning systems - Governments equipped with systems to detect impending famines can act swiftly to mitigate impacts through preparedness and resource allocation.
- Social safety nets - Policies such as financial support for vulnerable farmers or public works projects can provide a buffer during food crises.
Influence of international aid and media
- Access to international aid - Support from global organisations and foreign governments can provide immediate relief through food supplies, funding, and expertise.
- Power of media coverage - Media attention can influence the level of international response by highlighting the severity of a crisis, often determining the speed and scale of aid delivery.
- Competing global crises - When multiple humanitarian disasters occur simultaneously, aid and media focus may be diverted, reducing support for famine-affected regions.
Case study: Famine in Ethiopia (2015-16)
The famine in Ethiopia during 2015-16 serves as a significant example of how multiple factors can converge to create a severe food crisis, and how governmental and international responses can shape outcomes.
Background to the crisis
- Severe drought conditions - The seasonal rains expected between June and September failed, marking the worst drought in Ethiopia in several decades.
- Impact on agriculture - With around 90% of cereal production reliant on summer rains, the drought led to a reduction in crop yields.
- Scale of need - Over 18 million people required urgent assistance due to the resulting food shortage.
Key contributing factors
- Environmental trigger - The El Niño weather phenomenon was a primary cause of the drought, disrupting normal rainfall patterns.
- Governance challenges - Historical issues such as state neglect and poor management contributed to the crisis, amplifying the effects of the drought.
- Land use conflicts - The practice of selling land to foreign corporations for industrial farming, often termed 'land grabs', reduced local access to arable land for food production.
Response and intervention
- Government action - Early warning systems enabled a rapid response, including the establishment of social security measures to support poorer farmers with public works such as digging water holes.
- International support - Organisations such as the World Food Programme (WFP), Save the Children, and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) provided aid:
- WFP is helping to feed the refugees and also supporting the government's second five-year Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP), a school meals programme and a vulnerability and mapping unit (VAM).
- Save the Children Ethiopia reported substantial livestock losses in the Afar region and mobilized $100 million.
- FAO announced a $50 million plan to assist agriculture- and livestock-dependent households.
- Media and aid challenges - Limited media coverage, due to competing global crises like conflicts in Syria and South Sudan, resulted in reduced international attention and slower aid mobilization.
Evaluation of the response
- Strengths - Early governmental intervention and international collaboration provided critical relief to millions, preventing an even higher death toll.
- Limitations - Insufficient global focus and delays in aid delivery highlighted the challenges of competing humanitarian demands and the need for sustained media engagement.
Long-term strategies to mitigate famine effects
While emergency aid offers immediate relief during a famine, sustainable solutions are necessary to address underlying causes and build resilience against future crises.
Approaches to reduce famine impact
- Empowering local communities - Aid programmes should focus on enabling people to develop productive assets, such as water-harvesting tanks, dams and irrigation projects, to improve food security.
- Regulating land use - Preventing foreign companies from using land solely for export crops ensures that local food production is prioritised, protecting community access to resources.
- Strengthening infrastructure - Investments in agricultural infrastructure and technology can enhance crop resilience to drought and other environmental challenges.
- Policy and governance reform - Improving governance structures to prioritise food security and equitable resource distribution can reduce the risk of future famines.