6.1 - Historic Climate Change
The definition and significance of the Quaternary period
The Quaternary period is the most recent geological timeframe in Earth's history, spanning from 2.6 million years ago to the present day. This period is often referred to as an ice age due to the continuous presence of a permanent ice sheet on Antarctica.
Key features of the Quaternary period
- Timeframe - Covers the last 2.6 million years of Earth's history.
- Ice age characteristics - Defined as a glacial episode with lower-than-average global temperatures, resulting in expanded ice coverage across the Earth's surface.
- Climatic variability - Marked by alternating cold and warm episodes.
Climate fluctuations during the Quaternary period
Throughout the Quaternary period, the Earth's climate has undergone significant changes, with temperatures showing considerable variation. Overall, there has been a gradual cooling trend, punctuated by distinct cold and warm phases.
Patterns of temperature change
- General cooling trend - Over the 2.6 million years, average global temperatures have trended downwards.
- Glacial episodes - These are cold 'spikes' where temperatures dropped significantly.
- Inter-glacial episodes - Warmer intervals between glacial episodes, with conditions similar to those experienced today.
- Current climate context - The present day falls within an inter-glacial episode, with average temperatures higher than almost all of the Quaternary period.
Temperature trends over the last 400,000 years
Examining a shorter timescale within the Quaternary period reveals a cyclical pattern of climate change. Over the last 400,000 years, the Earth has experienced repeated shifts between cold and warm phases.
Cyclical climate patterns
- Duration of cycles - Glacial episodes typically last around 100,000 years, during which thick ice sheets expand.
- Inter-glacial durations - Warmer inter-glacial episodes are shorter, averaging about 10,000 years, with ice retreating during these periods.
- Recent stability - In the most recent inter-glacial episode, temperatures have remained relatively stable and warmer for an extended period.
- Human evolution context - The human species emerged approximately 200,000 years ago.
- Current temperature benchmark - Today's global average temperature is slightly above the midpoint of historical fluctuations over this period.
Climate variations since 1000 AD
Zooming in on the last millennium, the Earth's climate has continued to show variability with notable periods of warming and cooling.
Historical climate episodes
- Medieval Warming Period (950–1250 AD) - A time of relative warmth in some regions, with temperatures occasionally matching or exceeding current levels, though global averages were lower than today.
- Little Ice Age (1300–1870 AD) - A prolonged cooling period, particularly affecting Europe and North America, where winters were much harsher than present day, leading to frozen rivers and seas around the UK.
Modern warming trends in recent decades
In the context of the last century, global temperatures have shown a marked increase, deviating from historical averages. Compared to the average temperatures recorded between 1901 and 2000, recent decades have seen a noticeable rise in global temperatures.