3.8 - Policy Conflicts
The main macroeconomic objectives of governments
Governments pursue several key macroeconomic objectives to promote overall economic health and stability. These objectives guide policy decisions and help measure economic performance.
Four primary macroeconomic objectives
- Strong economic growth - Achieving a sustained increase in the total output of goods and services in the economy, often measured by changes in gross domestic product (GDP).
- Reducing unemployment - Lowering the number of people who are willing and able to work but cannot find jobs, aiming for full employment without excessive inflation.
- Keeping inflation low - Maintaining stable prices to preserve the purchasing power of money, typically targeting a low and steady rate of inflation.
- Maintaining an equilibrium in the balance of payments - Ensuring that the value of exports roughly equals the value of imports over time, avoiding persistent surpluses or deficits.
Additional government objectives
- A more equal distribution of income and wealth across society.
- Protecting the environment from damage caused by economic activities.
- Maintaining economic stability to avoid extreme fluctuations in the business cycle.
- Improving productivity and international competitiveness to enhance efficiency and global trade position.
Conflicts and trade-offs between objectives
Governments often face trade-offs when pursuing macroeconomic objectives, as actions to achieve one goal can hinder progress on others. These conflicts arise because resources are limited and economic policies have interconnected effects.
Pursuing one objective can make another more difficult to achieve, leading to conflicts. In the short run, governments prioritise the most pressing objectives and accept temporary negative impacts on others. For example, governments may focus on immediate needs, such as boosting growth during a recession, even if it leads to higher inflation or environmental strain.
How shifts in aggregate demand and supply affect objectives
Changes in aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) directly influence macroeconomic objectives. Understanding these shifts helps explain why objectives can conflict or align.
Effects of a rightward shift in the AD curve
Short-run economic growth occurs when the AD curve shifts to the right, driven by increases in its components: consumption (C), investment (I), government spending (G), or net exports (X - M).
This shift has mixed impacts:
- Output increases, leading to economic growth.
- Unemployment decreases as more workers are needed.
- The price level rises, potentially causing inflation.
- International competitiveness decreases due to higher domestic prices.
- Exports fall as they become more expensive abroad.
- Imports rise as they appear cheaper domestically.
- The balance of payments worsens, possibly leading to a deficit.
Effects of a rightward shift in the LRAS curve
A rightward shift in the long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) curve allows multiple objectives to be achieved simultaneously by increasing the economy's productive capacity.
This shift has positive impacts:
- Output increases.
- Unemployment reduces.
- The price level falls.
- Competitiveness improves.
- The balance of payments improves.
Specific examples of objective conflicts
Certain pairs of objectives frequently conflict, particularly in the short run, due to the underlying economic mechanisms involved.
Inflation-unemployment trade-off
Reducing unemployment can lead to higher inflation:
- As the economy approaches full capacity with low unemployment, fewer spare workers are available, pushing up wages.
- Higher wages increase production costs, which firms may pass on as higher prices (cost-push inflation).
- Low unemployment boosts consumer confidence and spending, leading to demand-pull inflation.
- This makes it challenging to keep inflation low while minimising unemployment.
Economic growth-environment conflict
Pursuing rapid economic growth can harm environmental objectives:
- Increased manufacturing raises pollution levels.
- Greater consumption depletes non-renewable resources.
- Industrial and residential development damages natural habitats.
- Biodiversity and ecosystem health are threatened by expanded economic activity.
Economic growth-inflation conflict
Strong growth often fuels inflation:
- Rapid growth increases demand, pushing up prices (demand-pull inflation).
- Measures to control inflation, such as raising interest rates, can restrict economic expansion.
- Reducing spending to curb inflation may slow overall economic expansion.
Inflation-balance of payments relationship
Low inflation can have mixed effects on the balance of payments:
- Domestic goods become more competitive if other countries experience higher inflation, boosting exports.
- However, policies to maintain low inflation (e.g., high interest rates) attract foreign investment, strengthening the currency.
- A stronger currency makes exports more expensive and imports cheaper, potentially worsening the trade balance.
Economic growth-inequality relationship
Growth can exacerbate income and wealth inequality:
- Benefits of growth are not evenly distributed.
- Demand for specialised skills rises, while routine jobs may decline.
- Policies to reduce inequality include: welfare payments, progressive taxation, or minimum wage increases.
- Supply-side policies that improve labour mobility and employment can support both growth and greater equality.
The role of demand-side and supply-side policies in managing objectives
Different types of policies affect how governments handle trade-offs between objectives, with varying short-run and long-run impacts.
Limitations of demand-side policies
Demand-side policies, which focus on stimulating AD, often lead to conflicts. They can boost growth and reduce unemployment but at the cost of higher inflation and a weaker balance of payments.
Benefits of supply-side policies
Supply-side policies target improvements in LRAS, helping to resolve conflicts. By enhancing productivity, efficiency, and competitiveness, they enable simultaneous achievement of growth, low unemployment, low inflation, and balance of payments equilibrium. In the long run, increasing aggregate supply reduces short-run trade-offs, allowing objectives to align.