2.11 - Demand & Supply - Housing
The importance and features of the housing market
The housing market plays a vital role in the overall economy by ensuring there are enough homes to match the need for living spaces.
Key features of housing as an asset
- Investment potential - Properties often increase in value over time, providing owners with possible financial gains when sold.
- Negative equity - This happens when the outstanding mortgage on a property is higher than its current market value, making it difficult for owners to sell or relocate without covering the difference themselves.
- Mortgages - These are specialised loans used to finance the purchase of a home, typically covering most of the cost while the buyer pays a deposit.
Factors affecting supply in the housing market
The supply of housing includes both newly constructed properties and existing ones that are put up for sale, available across a range of price points.
Components influencing the supply of new builds
- Building costs - These include expenses for labour, raw materials, land acquisition, and legal or planning fees, all of which can limit how many new homes are built.
- Number and scale of construction companies - A larger number of firms or bigger operations can increase the overall supply of housing.
- Government policies - Regulations, incentives, or restrictions from authorities can either encourage or hinder new developments.
Effects of changes in housing supply
An expansion in the number of new homes available shifts the supply curve to the right. This results in a greater quantity of houses being offered at every price level, which typically lowers the equilibrium price and raises the equilibrium quantity in the market.
Restrictions on housing supply
Supply is often limited by shortages of essential resources such as construction materials, skilled workers, suitable building land, and strict government rules on development.
Factors influencing demand and prices in housing
While supply plays a role, the prices of houses are mainly driven by demand-side influences, which can vary based on broader economic conditions.
Economic factors affecting housing demand
- Unemployment levels - Areas with high unemployment tend to see reduced demand and lower house prices, whereas regions with low unemployment experience stronger demand and higher prices.
- Economic growth and living standards - Periods of expansion, along with greater consumer confidence and improved standards of living, boost the desire for home ownership.
- Interest rates and mortgages - Since most homes are bought with mortgages, higher interest rates raise repayment costs, which decreases demand for purchasing properties.
- Substitutes like renting - Renting serves as an alternative to buying; if rental prices drop, it can reduce the demand for buying homes. Similarly, very low rents might discourage landlords from offering properties, shrinking the rental supply.
Short-run response to demand changes
In the short term, a surge in demand often leads to significant price increases because supply cannot expand quickly enough due to the time required for construction.
Price elasticity in the housing market
Elasticity measures how responsive quantity demanded or supplied is to price changes, and in housing, both demand and supply tend to be inelastic.
Price elasticity of demand (PED) for housing
Housing lacks close alternatives, making its PED inelastic. This means that even if prices rise, the quantity demanded falls by a relatively small proportion.
Price elasticity of supply (PES) for housing
The PES for housing is also inelastic, as increasing supply takes considerable time due to planning, building, and regulatory processes.
Economic impacts of changes in the housing market
Shifts in house prices and the number of transactions can have wide-reaching effects on the economy, influencing jobs, confidence, and spending patterns.
Positive effects of rising house prices and transactions
- Job creation - Higher prices and more sales often lead to increased employment in the construction sector as demand for new builds grows.
- Boost to consumer confidence - When property values rise, homeowners feel wealthier, which encourages greater spending and investment in the economy.
- Stimulus to related industries - An uptick in house sales prompts more purchases of items like furniture, decorating materials, and other household goods.