6.9 - Monetary & Fiscal Policy
The main government policies for macroeconomic objectives
Governments use various policies to achieve key macroeconomic goals, such as controlling inflation, promoting economic growth, reducing unemployment, and maintaining a healthy balance of payments. These policies influence the overall economy and can have significant effects on business operations and decisions.
The four primary types of government policies
- Monetary policy - Focuses on adjusting interest rates and money supply to control inflation and support economic stability.
- Fiscal policy - Involves changes to government spending and taxation to influence aggregate demand and economic activity.
- Supply-side policy - Aims to improve the economy's productive capacity through measures like education, training, and deregulation to boost long-term growth.
- Exchange rate policy - Manages the value of the national currency to affect trade competitiveness and inflation.
Each policy can impact businesses differently, such as by altering costs, demand, or access to finance.
Monetary policy and its goals
Monetary policy is managed by a country's central bank and primarily involves setting interest rates to achieve economic targets. The central bank sets a base interest rate monthly, guided by government-set inflation goals.
How central banks adjust interest rates
- Central banks increase interest rates if inflation is expected to exceed targets, often during periods of strong economic growth in the business cycle.
- Central banks decrease interest rates when inflation is low and likely to stay below targets, particularly during times of slow economic growth that could lead to higher unemployment.
- The main focus is on keeping inflation under control, while also supporting other goals like stable growth and employment.
The impact of monetary policy on businesses
Changes in interest rates through monetary policy affect businesses in multiple ways, influencing their costs, sales, and strategic choices. Higher interest rates generally make borrowing more expensive, which can slow down economic activity.
Effects of higher interest rates on businesses
- Increased borrowing costs - Businesses with high levels of debt face higher interest payments, which can reduce their profits and strain cash flow.
- Reduced consumer demand - Higher rates discourage consumers from borrowing to buy big-ticket items like furniture, electronics, or cars, leading to lower sales for businesses in these sectors.
- Exchange rate appreciation - Elevated interest rates can strengthen the national currency, making exports more expensive and imports cheaper, which may hurt export-focused businesses while benefiting importers.
Fiscal policy and its key elements
Fiscal policy refers to government decisions on spending and taxation to manage the economy. It plays a major role, as government spending often represents a substantial portion, frequently over one-third of a country's gross domestic product (GDP).
Key components of fiscal policy
- Government spending - Includes major areas like social security, healthcare, education, defence, and law enforcement.
- Taxation - Main sources include income tax, value-added tax (VAT) or sales tax, corporation tax, and excise duties on specific goods like fuel or alcohol.
- Budget outcomes - The difference between total spending and tax revenue results in a budget deficit (if spending exceeds revenue) or a budget surplus (if revenue exceeds spending).
Expansionary fiscal policy during economic downturns
When the economy is in recession, with aggregate demand below potential output and rising unemployment, governments use expansionary fiscal policy to stimulate activity.
Policy measures:
- Increase spending on projects like infrastructure or public services to create jobs and boost demand.
- Cut taxes to raise disposable income for households and businesses, encouraging more spending.
This approach often results in a budget deficit.
Contractionary fiscal policy during economic overheating
When excessive aggregate demand leads to high inflation or balance of payments problems, governments apply contractionary fiscal policy.
Policy measures:
- Reduce spending, often targeting investment projects rather than day-to-day services.
- Raise taxes to lower disposable income and curb excessive spending.
This helps cool the economy and can lead to a budget surplus.
The impact of fiscal policy on businesses, including during recessions and overheating economies
Fiscal policy changes can target specific markets or have broad effects on the entire economy, influencing business demand, costs, and profitability. While some changes affect only certain sectors, wider shifts in spending or taxes impact all businesses.
Effects of increases in direct taxes
- On consumers - Higher income taxes reduce disposable income, lowering demand for goods and services; the impact is greater for products with high income elasticity of demand.
- On businesses - Increases in corporation tax cut retained earnings, limiting funds available for investment and growth.
Effects of increases in indirect taxes
Higher VAT or excise duties raise retail prices for affected products, reducing demand depending on price elasticity.
Effects of reductions in government spending
Businesses that supply the government, such as those in construction or technology, face lower demand if spending cuts target their sectors.